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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 9

Kick-off

Sun 18 May 2025

15:00

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

45%

KV Mechelen

2.24

28%

Draw

3.59

27%

Charleroi

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

2.94

1.27

Charleroi xG

45%
28%
27%
KV MechelenDrawCharleroi

2.24

45%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.52

Clean Sheet

28%

KV Mechelen

3.57

19%

Charleroi

5.30

Win to Nil

13%

KV Mechelen

7.98

5%

Charleroi

19.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.3 6.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 8.8 11.2 7.1 3.0 1.0 0.2
2 7.3 9.4 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 4.1 5.2 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.667
λ Away (xG) 1.273
Total xG 2.940
League avg home goals 1.473
League avg away goals 1.113
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.072
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.066
Charleroi attack strength 1.073
Charleroi defence strength 1.056
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60