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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Round - 2

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Planet Group Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

27%

Gent

3.64

30%

Draw

3.31

42%

Union St. Gilloise

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Gent xG

Total xG

2.62

1.47

Union St. Gilloise xG

27%
30%
42%
GentDrawUnion St. Gilloise

3.64

27%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

23%

Gent

4.35

32%

Union St. Gilloise

3.16

Win to Nil

6%

Gent

15.84

13%

Union St. Gilloise

7.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 10.7 7.9 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 8.4 12.3 9.0 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.8 7.1 5.2 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.149
λ Away (xG) 1.470
Total xG 2.619
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
Gent attack strength 1.026
Gent defence strength 1.037
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.273
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.762
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60