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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 7 Mar 2026

17:15

Venue

Dender Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

21%

Dender

4.77

24%

Draw

4.14

55%

Charleroi

1.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.9%

Away win

1 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Dender xG

Total xG

2.79

1.78

Charleroi xG

21%
24%
55%
DenderDrawCharleroi

4.77

21%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

1.82

55%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

17%

Dender

5.92

36%

Charleroi

2.76

Win to Nil

4%

Dender

28.26

20%

Charleroi

5.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 10.9 9.7 5.7 2.6 0.9
1 6.2 11.0 9.8 5.8 2.6 0.9
2 3.1 5.6 5.0 3.0 1.3 0.5
3 1.1 1.9 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.014
λ Away (xG) 1.779
Total xG 2.793
League avg home goals 1.284
League avg away goals 1.296
Dender attack strength 0.830
Dender defence strength 1.330
Charleroi attack strength 1.032
Charleroi defence strength 0.952
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57