Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sun 14 Dec 2025

17:30

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

33%

Charleroi

3.07

32%

Draw

3.15

36%

Union St. Gilloise

2.80

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Charleroi xG

Total xG

1.90

0.98

Union St. Gilloise xG

33%
32%
36%
CharleroiDrawUnion St. Gilloise

3.07

33%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

2.80

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

38%

BTTS Yes

2.66

62%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

37%

Charleroi

2.67

40%

Union St. Gilloise

2.51

Win to Nil

12%

Charleroi

8.20

14%

Union St. Gilloise

7.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.9 14.6 7.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 13.5 6.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 6.3 6.2 3.0 1.0 0.2
3 1.9 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.922
λ Away (xG) 0.981
Total xG 1.903
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.115
Charleroi attack strength 0.843
Charleroi defence strength 0.820
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.074
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.822
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47