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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 11 Jan 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

29%

Charleroi

3.39

38%

Draw

2.65

33%

Union St. Gilloise

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.2%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.9%

Draw

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Charleroi xG

Total xG

1.98

1.02

Union St. Gilloise xG

29%
38%
33%
CharleroiDrawUnion St. Gilloise

3.39

29%

Home win

2.65

38%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.35

57%

BTTS No

1.74

Clean Sheet

36%

Charleroi

2.77

38%

Union St. Gilloise

2.60

Win to Nil

11%

Charleroi

9.41

13%

Union St. Gilloise

7.91

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.9 14.2 7.2 2.5 0.6 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.9 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 6.3 6.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.955
λ Away (xG) 1.020
Total xG 1.975
League avg home goals 1.603
League avg away goals 1.081
Charleroi attack strength 0.814
Charleroi defence strength 0.921
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.024
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.732
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50