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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

18:15

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

47%

Charleroi

2.13

32%

Draw

3.17

21%

St. Truiden

4.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.64

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.72

1.08

St. Truiden xG

47%
32%
21%
CharleroiDrawSt. Truiden

2.13

47%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

4.66

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

34%

Charleroi

2.94

19%

St. Truiden

5.16

Win to Nil

16%

Charleroi

6.25

4%

St. Truiden

24.06

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 7.1 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 10.8 11.7 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.6 5.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.9 5.2 2.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.0 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.641
λ Away (xG) 1.078
Total xG 2.719
League avg home goals 1.581
League avg away goals 1.082
Charleroi attack strength 0.966
Charleroi defence strength 0.974
St. Truiden attack strength 1.023
St. Truiden defence strength 1.075
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 31 / 31