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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

53%

Charleroi

1.90

31%

Draw

3.23

16%

St. Truiden

6.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

2 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.58

0.89

St. Truiden xG

53%
31%
16%
CharleroiDrawSt. Truiden

1.90

53%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

6.09

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

41%

Charleroi

2.44

19%

St. Truiden

5.39

Win to Nil

22%

Charleroi

4.65

3%

St. Truiden

32.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 6.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 12.8 11.4 5.1 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.8 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 6.0 5.4 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.685
λ Away (xG) 0.894
Total xG 2.579
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.008
Charleroi attack strength 0.750
Charleroi defence strength 0.932
St. Truiden attack strength 0.951
St. Truiden defence strength 1.357
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48