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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Group - 36

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

17:15

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

37%

Charleroi

2.74

21%

Draw

4.69

42%

Genk

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.0%

Away win

2 – 1

7.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Charleroi xG

Total xG

3.78

1.96

Genk xG

37%
21%
42%
CharleroiDrawGenk

2.74

37%

Home win

4.69

21%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

73%

Over 2.5

1.37

27%

Under 2.5

3.70

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

33%

Over 4.5

3.03

67%

Under 4.5

1.49

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

72%

BTTS Yes

1.39

28%

BTTS No

3.56

Clean Sheet

14%

Charleroi

7.09

16%

Genk

6.15

Win to Nil

5%

Charleroi

19.41

7%

Genk

14.58

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 4.5 4.4 2.9 1.4 0.6
1 4.2 8.2 8.0 5.2 2.6 1.0
2 3.8 7.4 7.3 4.7 2.3 0.9
3 2.3 4.5 4.4 2.9 1.4 0.6
4 1.0 2.0 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.816
λ Away (xG) 1.959
Total xG 3.775
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Charleroi attack strength 0.995
Charleroi defence strength 1.148
Genk attack strength 1.292
Genk defence strength 1.371
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60