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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 19 Dec 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

41%

Charleroi

2.44

31%

Draw

3.21

28%

Genk

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.08

0.91

Genk xG

41%
31%
28%
CharleroiDrawGenk

2.44

41%

Home win

3.21

31%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

40%

Charleroi

2.49

31%

Genk

3.20

Win to Nil

16%

Charleroi

6.08

9%

Genk

11.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 11.4 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.6 13.3 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.5 7.7 3.5 1.1 0.2
3 3.3 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.164
λ Away (xG) 0.911
Total xG 2.075
League avg home goals 1.324
League avg away goals 1.112
Charleroi attack strength 0.857
Charleroi defence strength 0.828
Genk attack strength 0.990
Genk defence strength 1.026
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48