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Charleroi vs Genk – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Fri 28 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

40%

Charleroi

2.47

31%

Draw

3.23

29%

Genk

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.71

1.23

Genk xG

40%
31%
29%
CharleroiDrawGenk

2.47

40%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

29%

Charleroi

3.41

23%

Genk

4.42

Win to Nil

12%

Charleroi

8.44

6%

Genk

15.45

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.1 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
1 9.8 12.1 7.4 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.3 9.0 5.5 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.6 4.5 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.486
λ Away (xG) 1.228
Total xG 2.714
League avg home goals 1.461
League avg away goals 1.152
Charleroi attack strength 1.007
Charleroi defence strength 0.872
Genk attack strength 1.223
Genk defence strength 1.010
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57