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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Feb 2025

17:30

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

36%

Charleroi

2.79

34%

Draw

2.97

30%

Anderlecht

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.18

1.04

Anderlecht xG

36%
34%
30%
CharleroiDrawAnderlecht

2.79

36%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

35%

Charleroi

2.82

32%

Anderlecht

3.14

Win to Nil

13%

Charleroi

7.85

10%

Anderlecht

10.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 11.7 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.4 7.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.144
λ Away (xG) 1.036
Total xG 2.180
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.135
Charleroi attack strength 1.043
Charleroi defence strength 0.874
Anderlecht attack strength 1.045
Anderlecht defence strength 0.708
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55