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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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SK Beveren cruise to a comfortable 2-0 victory over Olympic Charleroi.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SK Beveren beat Olympic Charleroi 2-0 at Freethiel Stadion, Regular Season - 27, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SK Beveren 1.84 xG and Olympic Charleroi 0.96 xG, a combined 2.80. The scoreboard read 2-0 for 2 actual goals. Olympic Charleroi landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SK Beveren attack 1.17 / defence 0.69 against Olympic Charleroi attack 1.01 / defence 1.18, drawn from 53/24 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SK Beveren 58% | Draw 23% | Olympic Charleroi 19%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 58%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 53%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — against the model's lean. Over 1.5 had been 77% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 58% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SK Beveren 58%, Olympic Charleroi 58%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 54%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SK Beveren's trading profile (24 games, 12 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 42% of the time, and duly kept one.

Olympic Charleroi's trading profile (24 games, 12 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 46% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

On form, SK Beveren arrived the stronger side — 2.75 PPG against 0.67. Form held, and they took the win. Olympic Charleroi (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.42 scoring average — below par going forward.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights