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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Beerschot VA cruise to a comfortable 4-2 victory over RSC Anderlecht II.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Beerschot VA beat RSC Anderlecht II 4-2 at Olympisch Stadion, Regular Season - 29, in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Beerschot VA 1.22 xG and RSC Anderlecht II 1.34 xG, a combined 2.56. The scoreboard read 4-2 for 6 actual goals. Beerschot VA beat their projection by 2.8 — clinical relative to the chances the model priced in. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Beerschot VA attack 0.86 / defence 0.84 against RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.17 / defence 1.06, drawn from 27/55 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Beerschot VA 34% | Draw 27% | RSC Anderlecht II 39%, with RSC Anderlecht II to win its most likely call at 39%. The actual Beerschot VA win had been the model's second-ranked read at 34%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 47%. The game delivered 6, so it went over — a miss for the goals model. Over 1.5 had been 72% and landed. Over 3.5 was 25% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 52% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Beerschot VA 51%, RSC Anderlecht II 64%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Beerschot VA's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 64% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Beerschot VA arrived the stronger side — 1.35 PPG against 0.93. The form guide was vindicated by the result. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) scored 4 against a 1.33 average — above their attacking norm and shipped 2 against a 1.07 concession average — a leakier day than usual. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) shipped 4 against a 1.78 concession average — a leakier day than usual.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (hit), form (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights