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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 22 January 2027

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve matches clear our threshold on Friday 22 January 2027. Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard tops the list at 72% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
– : – 19:00
Fortuna Sittard
Win 13%
Draw 15%
Win 72%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
– : – 19:00
Montpellier
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
– : – 19:00
Almere City FC
Win 26%
Draw 21%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
– : – 19:00
NAC Breda
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Laval
– : – 19:00
PAU
Win 28%
Draw 24%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
– : – 19:45
Monaco
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
– : – 19:00
Annecy
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
Guingamp
– : – 19:00
Nancy
Win 34%
Draw 23%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
Metz
– : – 19:00
Dijon
Win 38%
Draw 21%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
– : – 19:00
Saint Etienne
Win 32%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#11 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
– : – 19:00
VVV Venlo
Win 40%
Draw 21%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Reims
– : – 19:00
RED Star FC 93
Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 22 January 2027?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard at 72% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.