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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 25 October 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 25 October 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax at 77% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 43%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 9%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 77%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Thun
2 : 3 FT
FC Lugano
Win 12%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 72%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 2 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Norrby IF
0 : 4 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Brighton
Win 23%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 4 FT
Famalicao
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 2 FT
Groningen
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
0 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 22%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Concepcion
0 : 1 FT
Deportes Limache
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 51%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Nacional
1 : 0 FT
SC Braga
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
0 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 0 FT
Çorum FK
Win 32%
Draw 20%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 74%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
1 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 0 FT
Karpaty
Win 19%
Draw 35%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2 : 1 FT
Aalesund
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 1 FT
Pattani
Win 30%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Osnabrück
3 : 0 FT
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#20 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Rasi Salai United
1 : 4 FT
Ayutthaya FC
Win 28%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 25 October 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax at 77% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.