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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 11 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 11 March 2026. The strongest reading belongs to Olympic Charleroi vs Seraing United at 57% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 43%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Olympic Charleroi
2 : 4 FT
Seraing United
Win 15%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Seraing United Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
KAA Gent II
2 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 1 FT
Southampton
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 2 FT
Al Nasr
Win 35%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Championship Β· England
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Championship Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 League One Β· England
Port Vale
0 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 11 March 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Olympic Charleroi vs Seraing United at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.