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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 4 March 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 4 March 2026. Kifisia vs PAOK led the list at 47% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier League supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kifisia
1 : 4 FT
PAOK
Win 25%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
0 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
2 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
0 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 36%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy
Bari
2 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 33%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 59%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
1 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 4 FT
Chelsea
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 4 March 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Kifisia vs PAOK at 47% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.