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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 16 May 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Falkenbergs FF vs Kalmar FF at 50% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 26%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan · Sweden
Falkenbergs FF
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 29%
Draw 22%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
1 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 29%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#4 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
1 : 3 FT
KuPS
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
3 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#9 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
0 : 1 FT
Kristiansund BK
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Orgryte IS
5 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
2 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 1 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#14 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
2 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61%
#15 Super League · China
Yunnan Yukun
2 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
✓ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
#17 League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 16 May 2025?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Falkenbergs FF vs Kalmar FF at 50% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.