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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 15 May 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 15 May 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Raed vs Al-Ittihad FC at 61% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 64%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 3 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 19%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
2 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
0 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 3 FT
Al Shabab
Win 29%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
0 : 2 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 28%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
1 : 2 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 40%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 79%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 2 FT
Athletic Club
Win 26%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
4 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 15 May 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Raed vs Al-Ittihad FC at 61% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.