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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Monday 7 April 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Monday 7 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Leicester vs Newcastle at 66% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 66% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 36%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 3 FT
Newcastle
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 13%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Puszcza Niepołomice
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Farense
0 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
1 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 35%
Draw 24%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 30%
Draw 35%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
0 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 1 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
3 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Leganes
1 : 1 FT
Osasuna
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#11 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
0 : 5 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Monday 7 April 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Leicester vs Newcastle at 66% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.