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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 4 April 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 4 April 2025. Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 led the list at 52% in the 2. Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 33%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
3 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 19%
Draw 30%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 2 FT
Jong AZ
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 27%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al Hisn
0 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 32%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 45%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 3 FT
Bayern München
Win 25%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 44%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
AVS
0 : 3 FT
Estoril
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
1 : 1 FT
Cracovia Krakow
Win 33%
Draw 23%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Karlsruher SC
1 : 0 FT
Hannover 96
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
0 : 1 FT
Al Okhdood
Win 36%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
0 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Patro Eisden
1 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
#14 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
0 : 2 FT
Kayserispor
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
#15 Championship · England
Blackburn
0 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
#16 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
4 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
✓ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
2 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
✓ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
MVV
1 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 4 April 2025?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Eintracht Braunschweig vs SC Paderborn 07 at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.