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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 29 August 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 29 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Khon Kaen United vs Buriram United at 60% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies four of the top 8, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
0 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 16%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
A. Italiano
1 : 2 FT
Everton de Vina
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Las Palmas
1 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
Win 34%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 23%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nakhon Pathom
0 : 3 FT
Bangkok United
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
4 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 29 August 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Khon Kaen United vs Buriram United at 60% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.