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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 27 July 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 27 July 2024. KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt sits top on 65% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 65% down to 32%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 3 FT
CSKA Moscow
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
FC Seoul
Win 23%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
0 : 4 FT
Zenit
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Dukla Praha
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
1 : 0 FT
Suwon City FC
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
0 : 0 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 0 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
York United
4 : 1 FT
Atlético Ottawa
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
3 : 4 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 4 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
0 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 28%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
4 : 0 FT
Lausanne
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
0 : 1 FT
Karviná
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
3 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 27 July 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt at 65% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.