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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 5 December 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 5 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna at 58% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 2 supplies six of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 2 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Luton
3 : 4 FT
Arsenal
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
1 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Concarneau
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 25%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dunkerque
0 : 5 FT
Bastia
Win 25%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 70%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
2 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
2 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
1 : 3 FT
Guingamp
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 69%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
3 : 2 FT
Bordeaux
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 5 December 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by WSG Wattens vs Rapid Vienna at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.