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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 29 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 29 October 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg at 71% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 39%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
0 : 4 FT
TSV Hartberg
Win 9%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Pendikspor
0 : 5 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 62%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 18%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
1 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
3 : 4 FT
FC Seoul
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
0 : 3 FT
Genk
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vizela
0 : 2 FT
FC Porto
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
0 : 2 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 30%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
2 : 1 FT
BK Hacken
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
1 : 3 FT
IFK Varnamo
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 57%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
0 : 1 FT
Malmo FF
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#14 Superettan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
2 : 1 FT
Gais
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 30%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 33%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#17 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
3 : 3 FT
Lask Linz
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
4 : 3 FT
Frosinone
Win 30%
Draw 31%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#19 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
2 : 1 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Premier League Β· England
Manchester United
0 : 3 FT
Manchester City
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 29 October 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.