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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 27 October 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 27 October 2023. Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC led the list at 70% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 47%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Hatta SC
0 : 5 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
1 : 4 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
1 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 25%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Cork City
0 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
1 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 24%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 21%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
2 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
0 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 30%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#12 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
1 : 2 FT
Tottenham
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 54%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
1 : 1 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
ŁKS Łódź
0 : 5 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 30%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 39%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#16 Premier League Β· Russia
Rubin
1 : 0 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#19 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
2 : 1 FT
RWDM
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 27 October 2023?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hatta SC vs Al-Wasl FC at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.