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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 2 July 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 2 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Vancouver FC vs York United at 53% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 36%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Vancouver FC
1 : 2 FT
York United
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Norrkoping
2 : 2 FT
BK Hacken
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
2 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Aalesund
1 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 2 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 55%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
0 : 1 FT
Tromso
Win 37%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
3 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
0 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 2 July 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Vancouver FC vs York United at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.