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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 9 May 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 9 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Al-Fayha vs Al-Fateh at 52% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 17%
Draw 35%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
1 : 3 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 17%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#4 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
AC Oulu
0 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 20%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 1 FT
Pohang Steelers
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Magallanes
1 : 2 FT
Curico Unido
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 54%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
3 : 3 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 26%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
2 : 1 FT
Al-Raed
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Super League Β· China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Varnamo
3 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 12 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 9 May 2023?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Fayha vs Al-Fateh at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.