Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 7 May 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 7 May 2023. Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük sits top on 70% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 45%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the away win market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
1 : 1 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 16%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
#5 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
0 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 62%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 4 FT
Sporting CP
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#7 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Baniyas SC
1 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 20%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 60%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
#9 League One Β· England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 17%
Draw 25%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 19%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 3 FT
Plymouth
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#12 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 3 FT
Bolton
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Ratchaburi
1 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Auxerre
1 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
1 : 2 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
#19 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 0 FT
Vitesse
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
1 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 29%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 7 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gaziantep FK vs Fatih Karagümrük at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.