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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Wednesday 26 April 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 26 April 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos at 52% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 15%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#3 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#4 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
3 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 29%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 21%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Premier League · England
West Ham
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 37%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zlin
4 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#11 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
#12 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Premier League · England
Chelsea
0 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#15 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 0 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 26 April 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.