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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 28 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 28 January 2023. Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Al-Jazira led the list at 62% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
0 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 18%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 62%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Bundesliga · Germany
Werder Bremen
2 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
1 : 2 FT
Inter
Win 19%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
0 : 4 FT
Galatasaray
Win 17%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 59%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 League Two · England
Rochdale
0 : 1 FT
Carlisle
Win 20%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 55%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Girona
0 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 23%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 54%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 26%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 51%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 3 FT
Panetolikos
Win 22%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 League Two · England
Crawley Town
3 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Prachuap
1 : 1 FT
Port FC
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Estac Troyes
1 : 1 FT
Lens
Win 24%
Draw 31%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
2 : 1 FT
Reggina
Win 22%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#14 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
0 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#16 Championship · England
Hull City
3 : 0 FT
QPR
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 League One · England
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 2 FT
Exeter City
Win 30%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#18 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Widzew Łódź
3 : 3 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 League One · England
Burton Albion
2 : 0 FT
Oxford United
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
1 : 1 FT
St. Truiden
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 28 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Dibba Al-Fujairah vs Al-Jazira at 62% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.