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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 14 January 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 14 January 2023. Al Baten vs Al-Ittihad FC led the list at 58% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 38%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
1 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 58%
#2 League Two · England
Gillingham
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 64%
#4 Eredivisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
2 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
2 : 4 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 31%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Leicester
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Championship · England
Hull City
1 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 2 FT
St. Truiden
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 43%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Premier League · England
Wolves
1 : 0 FT
West Ham
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 League One · England
Accrington ST
2 : 0 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#11 League Two · England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#12 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
2 : 2 FT
AC Milan
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Championship · England
Preston
0 : 4 FT
Norwich
Win 30%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
0 : 2 FT
AZ Alkmaar
Win 31%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 39%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
#17 Premier League · England
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Liverpool
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 32%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 39%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#19 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
0 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#20 League One · England
Charlton
2 : 0 FT
Barnsley
Win 34%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 14 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Baten vs Al-Ittihad FC at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.