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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 19 November 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Saturday 19 November 2022. Burton Albion vs Plymouth sits top on 53% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 41%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Burton Albion
2 : 2 FT
Plymouth
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
0 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 League One Β· England
Exeter City
0 : 2 FT
Ipswich
Win 28%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#4 League Two Β· England
Harrogate Town
3 : 0 FT
Mansfield Town
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
#5 League One Β· England
Barnsley
3 : 1 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 25%
Draw 30%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#6 League Two Β· England
Bradford
1 : 3 FT
Northampton
Win 28%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#7 League Two Β· England
Stockport County
1 : 2 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#8 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
1 : 1 FT
Stevenage
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#9 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Port FC
1 : 3 FT
Buriram United
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 League One Β· England
Cheltenham
1 : 0 FT
Wycombe
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 League One Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 71%
#12 League Two Β· England
Salford City
1 : 4 FT
Carlisle
Win 34%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#13 League One Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Charlton
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
2 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
0 : 0 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 League Two Β· England
Colchester
3 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
VVV Venlo
Win 47%
Draw 21%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 72%

Showing top 17 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 19 November 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burton Albion vs Plymouth at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.