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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Sunday 29 May 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 May 2022. Al Taee vs Al-Ittihad FC led the list at 52% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Ittihad FC
Win 28%
Draw 20%
Win 52%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 71%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
jerv
0 : 5 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 24%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Helsingborg
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 25%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 50%
#4 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HIFK Helsinki
1 : 2 FT
Honka
Win 22%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 29%
Draw 24%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
1 : 0 FT
Hammarby FF
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Molde
3 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 36%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
4 : 4 FT
Excelsior
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund
2 : 2 FT
Aalesund
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Quevilly
2 : 0 FT
Villefranche
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#12 Championship · England
Huddersfield
0 : 1 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 32%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 2 FT
Malmo FF
Win 35%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 3 FT
VPS
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Damac
0 : 3 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
#16 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Moreirense
1 : 0 FT
Chaves
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#17 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 2 FT
Valour
Win 44%
Draw 23%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#18 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
1 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
6 : 1 FT
Vitesse
✓ Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
0 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 29 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Taee vs Al-Ittihad FC at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.