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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 11 February 2022

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

19 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 11 February 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Seraing United vs Antwerp at 57% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 32%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 1 FT
Antwerp
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
0 : 0 FT
Emmen
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
2 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
0 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
1 : 1 FT
Al Nasr
Win 32%
Draw 23%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
6 : 2 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Górnik Łęczna
1 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Rapid Vienna
1 : 2 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
2 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
0 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 66%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 0 FT
Utrecht
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#18 Primera División Β· Chile
Palestino
1 : 0 FT
O'Higgins
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Nassr
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 19 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 11 February 2022?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Seraing United vs Antwerp at 57% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.