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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Tuesday 21 December 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 21 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Genoa vs Atalanta at 73% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 31%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Genoa
0 : 0 FT
Atalanta
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 73%
Over 2.5 63%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Altay
1 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 20%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Huanghai
1 : 2 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
1 : 2 FT
Toulouse
Win 29%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 58%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 3 FT
Dijon
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
2 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 1 FT
Giresunspor
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 61%
#9 Super League Β· China
Chongqing Lifan
0 : 0 FT
Wuhan Zall
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 21 December 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Genoa vs Atalanta at 73% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.