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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 18 September 2021

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 18 September 2021. Kooteepee vs KuPS led the list at 72% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Kooteepee
1 : 2 FT
KuPS
Win 10%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 72%
BTTS No 60% KuPS Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Mariupol
0 : 5 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
0 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy
Vicenza Virtus
1 : 3 FT
Pisa
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
1 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 14%
Draw 32%
Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 68% Le Havre Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 2 FT
Palmeiras
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#7 Championship Β· England
Peterborough
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
#8 League Two Β· England
Port Vale
2 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
0 : 0 FT
Auxerre
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#10 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 27%
Draw 22%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
3 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
Win 27%
Draw 23%
Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 2 FT
Osasuna
Win 19%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 49%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
2 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 20%
Draw 31%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67%
#14 Championship Β· England
Preston
1 : 1 FT
West Brom
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
2 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 19%
Draw 34%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 23%
Draw 31%
Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 1 FT
Groningen
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
1 : 3 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 19%
Draw 38%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#19 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
– : – CANC
Brann
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
0 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 18 September 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kooteepee vs KuPS at 72% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.