Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 30 Nov 2025

13:30

Venue

Stadion Hartberg

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

31%

TSV Hartberg

3.22

25%

Draw

4.00

44%

Sturm Graz

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

TSV Hartberg xG

Total xG

2.79

1.54

Sturm Graz xG

31%
25%
44%
TSV HartbergDrawSturm Graz

3.22

31%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.28

Clean Sheet

21%

TSV Hartberg

4.66

29%

Sturm Graz

3.51

Win to Nil

7%

TSV Hartberg

14.98

13%

Sturm Graz

7.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1 9.4 7.2 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 7.7 11.8 9.1 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.8 7.4 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 2.0 3.1 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.255
λ Away (xG) 1.538
Total xG 2.793
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.344
TSV Hartberg attack strength 1.033
TSV Hartberg defence strength 0.854
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.340
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.879
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 35