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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

16:00

Venue

Stadion Hartberg

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

TSV Hartberg Win

43%

TSV Hartberg

2.34

25%

Draw

4.01

32%

Red Bull Salzburg

3.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.53

TSV Hartberg xG

Total xG

2.83

1.30

Red Bull Salzburg xG

43%
25%
32%
TSV HartbergDrawRed Bull Salzburg

2.34

43%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.10

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.76

43%

BTTS No

2.32

Clean Sheet

27%

TSV Hartberg

3.66

22%

Red Bull Salzburg

4.62

Win to Nil

12%

TSV Hartberg

8.57

7%

Red Bull Salzburg

14.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 7.7 5.0 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.0 11.7 7.6 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.0 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.5 4.6 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.530
λ Away (xG) 1.298
Total xG 2.828
League avg home goals 1.518
League avg away goals 1.264
TSV Hartberg attack strength 0.978
TSV Hartberg defence strength 1.009
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.017
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 1.031
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 24 / 24