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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

19:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

WSG Wattens Win

34%

Sturm Graz

2.93

28%

Draw

3.59

38%

WSG Wattens

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.37

1.22

WSG Wattens xG

34%
28%
38%
Sturm GrazDrawWSG Wattens

2.93

34%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

29%

Sturm Graz

3.39

32%

WSG Wattens

3.14

Win to Nil

10%

Sturm Graz

9.95

12%

WSG Wattens

8.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 11.5 7.0 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.7 13.1 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.5 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.3 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.143
λ Away (xG) 1.222
Total xG 2.365
League avg home goals 1.382
League avg away goals 1.306
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.864
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.142
WSG Wattens attack strength 0.820
WSG Wattens defence strength 0.956
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36