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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Round - 10

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

46%

Sturm Graz

2.15

25%

Draw

4.03

29%

Wolfsberger AC

3.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.1%

Draw

2 – 2

7.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.10

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

3.75

1.65

Wolfsberger AC xG

46%
25%
29%
Sturm GrazDrawWolfsberger AC

2.15

46%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

3.49

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

89%

Over 1.5

1.12

11%

Under 1.5

9.09

72%

Over 2.5

1.39

28%

Under 2.5

3.57

52%

Over 3.5

1.92

48%

Under 3.5

2.08

32%

Over 4.5

3.12

68%

Under 4.5

1.47

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

73%

BTTS Yes

1.37

27%

BTTS No

3.69

Clean Sheet

19%

Sturm Graz

5.21

12%

Wolfsberger AC

8.19

Win to Nil

9%

Sturm Graz

11.21

4%

Wolfsberger AC

28.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.3 3.9 3.2 1.8 0.7 0.2
1 4.9 8.1 6.7 3.7 1.5 0.5
2 5.2 8.6 7.1 3.9 1.6 0.5
3 3.6 6.0 4.9 2.7 1.1 0.4
4 1.9 3.2 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.103
λ Away (xG) 1.651
Total xG 3.754
League avg home goals 1.598
League avg away goals 1.201
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.400
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.061
Wolfsberger AC attack strength 1.296
Wolfsberger AC defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44