Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 24

Kick-off

Fri 20 Mar 2026

18:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Red Bull Salzburg Win

29%

Sturm Graz

3.45

29%

Draw

3.47

42%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.0%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.42

1.34

Red Bull Salzburg xG

29%
29%
42%
Sturm GrazDrawRed Bull Salzburg

3.45

29%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.37

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

26%

Sturm Graz

3.84

34%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.92

Win to Nil

8%

Sturm Graz

13.25

14%

Red Bull Salzburg

6.90

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 12.0 8.1 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.6 12.9 8.6 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.1 6.9 4.6 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.8 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 1.345
Total xG 2.415
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.956
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.919
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.275
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44