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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Championship Group - 32

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

13:30

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

43%

Sturm Graz

2.31

29%

Draw

3.39

27%

Rapid Vienna

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Sturm Graz xG

Total xG

2.28

0.98

Rapid Vienna xG

43%
29%
27%
Sturm GrazDrawRapid Vienna

2.31

43%

Home win

3.39

29%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

38%

Sturm Graz

2.66

27%

Rapid Vienna

3.68

Win to Nil

16%

Sturm Graz

6.14

7%

Rapid Vienna

13.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 10.0 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 13.3 13.0 6.4 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.7 8.5 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.8 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 0.977
Total xG 2.279
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Sturm Graz attack strength 0.972
Sturm Graz defence strength 0.936
Rapid Vienna attack strength 0.910
Rapid Vienna defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44