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Stalemate at SCR Altach's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Cashpoint-Arena, Relegation Group - 28, as SCR Altach and WSG Wattens drew 0-0 in the Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.38 xG and WSG Wattens 1.10 xG, a combined 2.49. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. SCR Altach fell 1.4 short of their projected output. WSG Wattens landed 1.1 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 1.01 / defence 0.90 against WSG Wattens attack 1.06 / defence 1.02, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 43% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 29%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 43%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 28%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 72% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 51% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 47% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 41%, WSG Wattens 54%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SCR Altach's trading profile (59 games, 29 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 49% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 37% of games, a blank that repeated today.

WSG Wattens's trading profile (59 games, 29 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — SCR Altach 1.07 PPG, WSG Wattens 1.10 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. SCR Altach (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.17 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 0 against a 1.76 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). This one broke away from the data — most of the pre-match signals were overturned by how the ninety minutes actually played out.

💡 Key Insights