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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna share the spoils in a 1-1 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

SCR Altach and Rapid Vienna finished level at 1-1 at Cashpoint-Arena, Regular Season - 21, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.43 xG and Rapid Vienna 0.85 xG, a combined 2.28. The scoreboard read 1-1 for 2 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 1.04 / defence 0.86 against Rapid Vienna attack 0.85 / defence 1.04, drawn from 42/42 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 51% | Draw 27% | Rapid Vienna 22%, with SCR Altach to win its most likely call at 51%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 66% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 44% and the match saw both sides score — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 46% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 40%, Rapid Vienna 52%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

SCR Altach's trading profile (52 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did.

Rapid Vienna's trading profile (52 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 58% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — SCR Altach 1.04 PPG, Rapid Vienna 1.38 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 1 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss). The data was on the wrong side of this result more often than not — a reminder that a single match sits well inside the model's variance.

💡 Key Insights