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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 1 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Red Bull Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

TSV Hartberg Win

37%

Red Bull Salzburg

2.73

25%

Draw

4.04

39%

TSV Hartberg

2.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.5%

Away win

2 – 1

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Red Bull Salzburg xG

Total xG

2.90

1.47

TSV Hartberg xG

37%
25%
39%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawTSV Hartberg

2.73

37%

Home win

4.04

25%

Draw

2.59

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

23%

Red Bull Salzburg

4.37

24%

TSV Hartberg

4.18

Win to Nil

8%

Red Bull Salzburg

11.91

9%

TSV Hartberg

10.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 8.1 6.0 2.9 1.1 0.3
1 7.8 11.6 8.5 4.2 1.5 0.5
2 5.6 8.3 6.1 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.7 3.9 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.430
λ Away (xG) 1.474
Total xG 2.904
League avg home goals 1.317
League avg away goals 1.169
Red Bull Salzburg attack strength 1.127
Red Bull Salzburg defence strength 1.163
TSV Hartberg attack strength 1.084
TSV Hartberg defence strength 0.963
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 42