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Bundesliga · Relegation Round - 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

WSG Wattens Win

27%

Grazer AK

3.72

31%

Draw

3.18

42%

WSG Wattens

2.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.3%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.67

1.50

WSG Wattens xG

27%
31%
42%
Grazer AKDrawWSG Wattens

3.72

27%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

2.40

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

22%

Grazer AK

4.47

31%

WSG Wattens

3.24

Win to Nil

6%

Grazer AK

16.60

13%

WSG Wattens

7.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 10.3 7.7 3.9 1.4 0.4
1 8.1 12.2 9.1 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.8 7.2 5.4 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 1.9 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.177
λ Away (xG) 1.497
Total xG 2.674
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.199
Grazer AK attack strength 0.730
Grazer AK defence strength 1.257
WSG Wattens attack strength 0.993
WSG Wattens defence strength 1.009
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 44