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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Relegation Group - 23

Kick-off

Sat 14 Mar 2026

16:00

Venue

Merkur-Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grazer AK Win

53%

Grazer AK

1.90

24%

Draw

4.08

23%

Wolfsberger AC

4.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.8%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.91

1.11

Wolfsberger AC xG

53%
24%
23%
Grazer AKDrawWolfsberger AC

1.90

53%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

4.38

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.77

43%

BTTS No

2.31

Clean Sheet

33%

Grazer AK

3.04

17%

Wolfsberger AC

6.01

Win to Nil

17%

Grazer AK

5.78

4%

Wolfsberger AC

26.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 6.1 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 9.8 10.9 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 5.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.794
λ Away (xG) 1.113
Total xG 2.907
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.147
Grazer AK attack strength 1.056
Grazer AK defence strength 1.047
Wolfsberger AC attack strength 0.927
Wolfsberger AC defence strength 1.262
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44