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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Relegation Round - 5

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

17:30

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

TSV Hartberg Win

33%

Grazer AK

3.07

33%

Draw

3.01

34%

TSV Hartberg

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.50

1.27

TSV Hartberg xG

33%
33%
34%
Grazer AKDrawTSV Hartberg

3.07

33%

Home win

3.01

33%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

28%

Grazer AK

3.55

29%

TSV Hartberg

3.43

Win to Nil

9%

Grazer AK

10.87

10%

TSV Hartberg

10.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 10.4 6.6 2.8 0.9 0.2
1 10.1 12.8 8.1 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.2 7.9 5.0 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.6 3.2 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.233
λ Away (xG) 1.266
Total xG 2.499
League avg home goals 1.597
League avg away goals 1.200
Grazer AK attack strength 0.743
Grazer AK defence strength 1.247
TSV Hartberg attack strength 0.846
TSV Hartberg defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 22 / 44