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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 9 Mar 2025

16:00

Venue

Merkur Arena

Competition

Bundesliga

Austria

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sturm Graz Win

28%

Grazer AK

3.53

31%

Draw

3.23

41%

Sturm Graz

2.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Grazer AK xG

Total xG

2.84

1.56

Sturm Graz xG

28%
31%
41%
Grazer AKDrawSturm Graz

3.53

28%

Home win

3.23

31%

Draw

2.46

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

21%

Grazer AK

4.75

28%

Sturm Graz

3.61

Win to Nil

6%

Grazer AK

16.75

11%

Sturm Graz

8.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 9.1 7.1 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 7.5 11.7 9.1 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.8 7.5 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.4
3 2.1 3.2 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.284
λ Away (xG) 1.558
Total xG 2.842
League avg home goals 1.521
League avg away goals 1.205
Grazer AK attack strength 0.768
Grazer AK defence strength 1.234
Sturm Graz attack strength 1.048
Sturm Graz defence strength 1.099
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 42